Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 1.775083 2.024749 2.298863 2.622465 2.994467 3.409203 3.907327
2025-09-28 1.360582 1.673847 2.045949 2.521711 3.115596 3.834742 4.775074
2025-10-05 1.173124 1.539014 2.003800 2.640279 3.493586 4.604188 6.169279
2025-10-12 1.035593 1.436417 1.976187 2.761155 3.881929 5.437143 7.780674
2025-10-19 0.912131 1.328358 1.918329 2.823090 4.189205 6.196516 9.409310
2025-10-26 0.810233 1.232307 1.858565 2.865884 4.465608 6.941484 11.128630
2025-11-02 0.701839 1.109173 1.738542 2.794755 4.549580 7.395240 12.453388
2025-11-09 0.598553 0.978809 1.587971 2.649933 4.487504 7.595787 13.376551
2025-11-16 0.534302 0.902455 1.512805 2.616128 4.600937 8.097094 14.889481
2025-11-23 0.477605 0.831153 1.436194 2.567400 4.677487 8.538000 16.352779
2025-11-30 0.455401 0.816492 1.454372 2.687994 5.074688 9.611944 19.187929
2025-12-07 0.423824 0.780930 1.430430 2.726290 5.319499 10.427955 21.637105
2025-12-14 0.385688 0.730209 1.375251 2.702887 5.451056 11.061874 23.866241
2025-12-21 0.343097 0.666147 1.287523 2.604130 5.417126 11.356502 25.422043
2025-12-28 0.330161 0.658525 1.308622 2.729723 5.871334 12.749890 29.707982
2026-01-04 0.318101 0.651137 1.329105 2.856558 6.347016 14.264707 34.568288
2026-01-11 0.301125 0.631490 1.321768 2.921638 6.693364 15.539857 39.087969
2026-01-18 0.283961 0.609389 1.306462 2.966488 6.998945 16.766361 43.721440
2026-01-25 0.259103 0.567671 1.243563 2.892972 7.009521 17.275861 46.553901
2026-02-01 0.231286 0.516302 1.153365 2.742910 6.808976 17.223144 47.829943
2026-02-08 0.214372 0.487989 1.112646 2.707919 6.895603 17.926450 51.393182
2026-02-15 0.198062 0.459342 1.068003 2.657420 6.934624 18.509533 54.721768
2026-02-22 0.193916 0.459132 1.090999 2.782502 7.462560 20.516830 62.792798